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Will 2024 Kick Off the Next Major Crypto Bull Run?
The world of cryptocurrencies is an unpredictable one and amidst this unpredictability, the prospect of a crypto bull run generates significant interest. Crypto enthusiasts, investors, and analysts are all on the lookout for indications that the market may surge. As we approach the end of 2024, the question becomes more pressing: Will the crypto market experience a bull run in the latter half of 2024? This issue isn’t merely about temporary excitement; it represents a critical inquiry into the future of cryptocurrencies, sparking discussions on predictions for the next crypto bull run and the overall market outlook for 2024. Let us explore the potential scenarios, predictions, and influences that could determine the crypto market’s direction in the upcoming part of the year.Key Takeaways
- The global crypto market is currently valued at approximately $2.2 trillion, with fluctuating sentiment and significant trading volume increases.
- A crypto bull run refers to a period of rapid market growth, where prices surge, driven by increased investor interest and favorable conditions.
- The upcoming Bitcoin halving and advancements in blockchain technology suggest that 2024 could mark the beginning of the next major crypto bull run.
- Clearer regulations in key markets are expected to foster innovation and stability, potentially fueling the next wave of crypto adoption and growth.
- Advances in blockchain scalability, DeFi innovations, and the integration of crypto with emerging technologies like AI and the metaverse are poised to play a crucial role in the anticipated 2024 bull run.
Will 2024 Be the Start of a New Crypto Bull Run?
The possibility of a new crypto bull run in 2024 has drawn the focus of both investors and enthusiasts, fueling debates and predictions about the market’s direction. Several key factors indicate that 2024 could kick off the next big surge in the crypto market, introducing significant changes and opportunities within the digital currency world. In the first half of 2024, there has been a mild recovery, with Bitcoin’s price rising from below $40,000 to a new all-time high of over $73,000, then stabilizing at just under $60,000 at the time of this article. Meanwhile, the rest of the market has yet to fully recover, and there is an expectation of an altcoin season in the latter half of the year.What Can We Expect from Bitcoin & Other Cryptos in 2024 and Beyond?
Let’s explore a few expectations in the domain of cryptocurrency in the coming months.Market Dynamics and Global Trends
The global economic environment, especially the flow of money worldwide, points to a positive setting for the market. Anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve towards the end of 2024, along with the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and the potential introduction of ETFs for other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana, could boost investor engagement and wider acceptance of crypto. Advances in blockchain and improvements in user experience are making it easier for traditional web users to transition to Web3, setting the stage for broader use.Upcoming Changes and Opportunities
A range of new trends is ready to reshape the crypto scene. These include innovative decentralized applications (dApps), the integration of crypto with AI and the metaverse, the development of crypto infrastructure, and regulatory developments. These factors are collectively building up to a major bull run, drawing more investment and interest into the cryptocurrency world.BlackRock’s Moves in Crypto for 2024
In January 2024, BlackRock, the largest asset manager globally with over $8 trillion in assets, introduced two Bitcoin ETFs – the BlackRock Bitcoin Trust and the BlackRock Bitcoin Private Trust. This provided both institutional and retail investors with regulated ways to invest in Bitcoin, significantly boosting BlackRock’s profile in the crypto market and supporting wider institutional acceptance. By April 2024, BlackRock had teamed up with Coinbase to offer its institutional clients a way to manage their Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets via Coinbase Prime. This partnership facilitates a secure and integrated approach for handling crypto investments, reflecting a growing cooperation between conventional financial entities and crypto firms. In June 2024, after seeing the success of its Bitcoin ETFs, BlackRock filed for an Ethereum ETF called the BlackRock Ethereum Trust. This step was taken to cater to the increasing demand for Ethereum products and leverage Ethereum’s expanding use in decentralized finance (DeFi) and other blockchain ventures. With significant events, technological progress, and changing market dynamics converging, 2024 is set to be a pivotal year for the crypto market, possibly marking the start of another bullish phase. The combination of these elements prepares the crypto market for substantial growth, innovation, and broader adoption, hinting at a transformative era ahead.Crypto Market Overview 2024 – Are We Seeing a Repeat of the Past?
As of now, the total value of the global cryptocurrency market is approximately $2.2 trillion, marking a 14.5% drop in the second quarter. Despite this downturn, the daily trading volume has dramatically increased by 223% to $79.4 billion. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a measure of market sentiment, currently stands at a neutral 49, showing a trend towards caution since the first quarter, with values oscillating between 47 and 69 in May.Market Sentiment
Bitcoin continues to dominate over 54% of the market, suggesting that we are not yet in an altcoin season. Liquidity has decreased by 18.5% in the past month, showing signs of a bearish phase within an overall bull market. Even with optimistic broader market sentiments, such as potential approvals of Ethereum ETFs by the SEC and expected interest rate cuts in the US, liquidity levels have dropped back to those seen during the bear market of September 2023. Additionally, Ethereum gas fees have significantly decreased, and there’s been a minimal inflow into ETFs.Historical Patterns: Repeating Patterns
- Bitcoin has historically led bull markets, as evidenced by its market share increasing from 38.4% in November 2022 to 54% now.
- A 19.8% increase in stablecoin supply since early 2024 suggests we may be at the beginning of the next crypto bull run.
- The trend of investors moving Bitcoin to offline storage, similar to behaviors seen during the 2021 bull run, is happening again.
Non-Repeating Patterns
- The current bull cycle’s maximum reduction in value is only 18%, which is far less drastic than in previous cycles (over 50% in 2021), indicating that Bitcoin is becoming more stable and influenced by ETF investments.
- Unlike previous cycles where Bitcoin reached new highs post-halving due to reduced supply, this cycle’s high of $73,000 came before the halving, spurred by institutional investments from spot Bitcoin ETFs.